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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Moreirense

Match Rio Ave vs Moreirense February 16, 2026

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Mon 16 Feb · 20:15
1:2
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.61
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.91
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.70
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.25 – 0.45
Δ +0.80
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Moreirense enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Rio Ave's home momentum is limited by a shaky defense, while Moreirense's attack shows slight superiority against the home backline. Expect a tactical battle with Moreirense pressing to exploit Rio Ave's vulnerabilities.

  • Moreirense's defensive solidity may stifle Rio Ave's offense.
  • Home side's recent struggles could limit goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open attacking.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RIO
60' Papakanellos ↑ · Spikic
60' Pohlmann ↑ · Nikitscher
85' Guilherme ↑ · Ntoi
89' Graca ↑ · Richards
Subs used · MOR
73' John ↑ · Alanzinho
74' Gower ↑ · Rodri
82' Landerson ↑ · Bondoso
89' Monteiro ↑ · Travassos
90' Teguia ↑ · Pinto

📊 Statistics

RIO 12 MOR
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.45
18
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
24
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 1 – 2
Tamblé Monteiro
Yellow Card
5'
17'
Rodri
Assist · Kiko Bondoso · 0–1
41'
Kiko
Yellow Card
J. Blesa
Assist · A. Ntoi · 1–1
42'
Half-time · 1 – 1
57'
M. Stjepanovic
Assist · Travassos · 1–2
58'
Rodrigo Alonso
Yellow Card
A. Papakanellos ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 1
60'
O. Pohlmann ↓ · T. Nikitscher ↑
Substitution 2
60'
73'
N. John ↓ · Alanzinho ↑
Substitution 1
74'
J. Gower ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 2
82'
Landerson ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 3
Ryan Guilherme ↓ · A. Ntoi ↑
Substitution 3
85'
87'
Mateja Stjepanović
Yellow Card
J. Graca ↓ · O. Richards ↑
Substitution 4
89'
89'
Kevyn Monteiro ↓ · Travassos ↑
Substitution 4
90'
C. Teguia ↓ · D. Pinto ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.61 47% Cashed +1.61 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.70 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.27 41% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.81 47% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.12 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.44 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 66% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Draw 3.20 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.53 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 79% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.05 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.15u −19% ROI