Rio Ave vs Moreirense 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.44 — +7.8% better than the market.

Moreirense enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Rio Ave's home momentum is limited by a shaky defense, while Moreirense's attack shows slight superiority against the home backline. Expect a tactical battle with Moreirense pressing to exploit Rio Ave's vulnerabilities.

Moreirense's defensive solidity may stifle Rio Ave's offense.
Home side's recent struggles could limit goal-scoring opportunities.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open attacking.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u

+44%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-2-3-1

RIO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MOR

9 Monteiro

Subs used · RIO

60'

Papakanellos ↑ ·

Spikic ↓

60'

Pohlmann ↑ ·

Nikitscher ↓

85'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Ntoi ↓

89'

Graca ↑ ·

Richards ↓

Subs used · MOR

73'

John ↑ ·

Alanzinho ↓

74'

Gower ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

82'

Landerson ↑ ·

Bondoso ↓

89'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Travassos ↓

90'

Teguia ↑ ·

Pinto ↓

Statistics

RIO 1 – 2 MOR

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 2

Tamblé Monteiro

Yellow Card

▮

17'

⚽

Rodri

Assist · Kiko Bondoso · 0–1

41'

▮

Kiko

Yellow Card

J. Blesa

Assist · A. Ntoi · 1–1

⚽

42'

Half-time · 1 – 1

57'

⚽

M. Stjepanovic

Assist · Travassos · 1–2

58'

▮

Rodrigo Alonso

Yellow Card

A. Papakanellos ↓ · D. Spikic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

O. Pohlmann ↓ · T. Nikitscher ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

73'

⇄

N. John ↓ · Alanzinho ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

J. Gower ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 2

82'

⇄

Landerson ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑

Substitution 3

Ryan Guilherme ↓ · A. Ntoi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

87'

▮

Mateja Stjepanović

Yellow Card

J. Graca ↓ · O. Richards ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

⇄

Kevyn Monteiro ↓ · Travassos ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⇄

C. Teguia ↓ · D. Pinto ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Moreirense won 2–1 away at Rio Ave. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.25 to 0.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.45 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Rodri (17'), J. Blesa (42'), M. Stjepanovic (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.15 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.61	—	47%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.70	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.27	—	41%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	47%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.81	—	47%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.12	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Draw	3.20	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	89%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.05	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.15u	−19% ROI

Rio Ave vs Moreirense 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled