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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — FC Porto

Predictions Nacional vs FC Porto February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 15:30
0:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Home Win · NAC
7%
Best 7.10
Draw
19%
Best 4.60
Away Win · POR
74%
Best 1.40
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.23
Fair odds
1.94
book 2.23 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +14.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 51.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 7%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
NAC – POR @ 2.23
+14.8%
Edge
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