P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — Alverca

Predictions Tondela vs Alverca February 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Feb · 20:45
1:1
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Home Win · TON
29%
Best 2.53
Draw
28%
Best 3.00
Away Win · ALV
43%
Best 2.95
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.75
book 1.85 · +5.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +5.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 36%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.8%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.5%
Odds 4.61
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.