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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Casa Pia

Predictions Nacional vs Casa Pia February 8, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Feb · 15:30
0:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Home Win · NAC
59%
Best 1.83
Draw
25%
Best 3.45
Away Win · CAS
16%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.87
Fair odds
1.68
book 1.87 · +11.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +11.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.59
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.5%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 15.5%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.