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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Casa Pia

Match Nacional vs Casa Pia February 8, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Feb · 15:30
0:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.87 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.86 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.96 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.98 – 0.64
Δ +0.34
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nacional holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a stronger defensive setup that should help contain Casa Pia's moderate attack. The hosts' recent form shows resilience despite mixed results, while Casa Pia's slightly better recent points per game hints at competitive pressure. Expect a tactical battle with Nacional leveraging their home advantage and defensive solidity.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offense
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds
  • Recent form favors cautious play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · CAS 3-4-3
NAC · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · CAS 1 Kaique 16 Núñez 34 Santos 38 Vitor 5 Gomes 8 Baeza 6 Dias 28 Liziero 27 Veron 9 Ramírez 11 Bóia 1 Sequeira 4 Goulart 3 Bandeira 18 Geraldes 72 Larrazabal 80 Ofori 8 Brito 5 Conté 29 Livolant 90 Cassiano 21 Morais
Subs used · NAC
84' Witi ↑ · Gomes ↓
84' Junior ↑ · Veron ↓
89' Silva ↑ · Baeza ↓
90+2' Ruan ↑ · Boia ↓
Subs used · CAS
46' Marques ↑ · Morais ↓
71' Osundina ↑ · Livolant ↓
71' Mohamed ↑ · Brito ↓
81' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano ↓

📊 Statistics

NAC 0 – 0 CAS
69%
Possession (%)
31%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.64
21
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
5
12
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
7
15
Fouls
11
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
J. Marques ↓ · T. Morais ↑
Substitution 1
64'
▮
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Yellow Card
71'
⇄
K. Osundina ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
I. Mohamed ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
77'
▮
Iyad Mohamed
Yellow Card
81'
⇄
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 4
Léo Santos
Yellow Card
▮
83'
Witi ↓ · Jose Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
84'
Daniel Junior ↓ · Gabriel Veron ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
84'
Miguel Baeza
Yellow Card
▮
85'
86'
▮
André Geraldes
Yellow Card
J. Silva ↓ · M. Baeza ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
89'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+2'
Full-time · 0 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.87 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 — 54% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS No 1.96 — 51% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.06 — 41% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.40 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 — 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 — 29% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.32 — 76% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 9% Cashed +9.00 Cashed
Draw 3.59 — 25% Cashed +2.59 Cashed
Away Win 4.75 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.49 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +8.41u +49% ROI