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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Estrela

Predictions Alverca vs Estrela January 31, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 20:30
1:1
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
52%
Best 1.92
Draw
27%
Best 3.18
Away Win · EST
22%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.20
Fair odds
1.93
book 2.20 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +14.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 21.5%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.