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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Nacional

Predictions Sporting CP vs Nacional February 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisboa Referee Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Home Win · SPO
86%
Best 1.12
Draw
12%
Best 8.70
Away Win · NAC
3%
Best 19.00
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.90
book 2.10 · +10.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +10.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 11.6%
Odds 11.30
Show model details
Implied probability 8.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 2.9%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 52.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 88.3%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 11.7%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 2.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 14.5%
Odds 7.10
Show model details
Implied probability 14.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
SPO – NAC @ 2.10
+10.3%
Edge
Forecast →