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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Arouca

Predictions Rio Ave vs Arouca January 31, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 18:00
0:3
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Home Win · RIO
46%
Best 2.69
Draw
28%
Best 3.16
Away Win · ARO
27%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.85
Fair odds
1.63
book 1.85 · +13.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +13.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 12%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 3.51
Show model details
Implied probability 28.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 26.7%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RIO – ARO @ 1.85
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →