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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — Moreirense

Match Guimaraes vs Moreirense January 30, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 30 Jan · 20:45
1:0
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.82 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.38 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.52 – 0.77
Δ +0.75
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes face a tough challenge against Moreirense, who hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Despite Guimaraes' home momentum, Moreirense's sharper defensive shape and efficient attack suggest a tightly contested match. The home side's defensive solidity may limit goals, but Moreirense's pressing and counter threat could unlock chances.

  • Moreirense's form and quality advantage
  • Guimaraes' home defensive resilience
  • Potential for a compact, low-scoring game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-4-2
GUI · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · MOR 27 Charles 66 Strata 3 Nóbrega 26 Abascal 13 Mendes 16 Mukendi 23 Sousa 19 Camara 11 Silva 48 Saviolo 7 Oliveira 13 Ferreira 76 Pinto 8 Stjepanović 66 Batista 17 Martínez 78 Landerson 21 Alonso 25 Assis 2 Travassos 9 Semedo 11 Alan
Subs used · GUI
46' Samu ↑ · Camara ↓
63' Ndoye ↑ · Oliveira ↓
69' Blanco ↑ · Gustavo ↓
80' Mitrovic ↑ · Sousa ↓
Subs used · MOR
58' Bondoso ↑ · Landerson ↓
73' John ↑ · Rodri ↓
80' Santos ↑ · Pinto ↓
80' Maranhao ↑ · Martinez ↓

📊 Statistics

GUI 1 – 0 MOR
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.77
14
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
19
Fouls
12
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
5
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0
Miguel Maga
Yellow Card
▮
-5'
42'
▮
Gilberto Batista
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Samu ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
56'
▮
Dinis Pinto
Yellow Card
58'
⇄
Kiko Bondoso ↓ · Landerson ↑
Substitution 1
A. Ndoye ↓ · N. Oliveira ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
65'
▮
Mateja Stjepanović
Yellow Card
Samu (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
66'
F. Blanco ↓ · Gustavo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
73'
⇄
N. John ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 2
M. Mitrovic ↓ · D. Sousa ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
80'
⇄
L. Santos ↓ · D. Pinto ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
Yan Maranhao ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
83'
▮
Yan Maranhão
Yellow Card
90'
▮
Nile John
Yellow Card
Samu
Yellow Card
▮
90+21'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.82 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.38 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 — 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.64 — 59% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.09 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.16 — 39% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Away Win 4.10 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.88 — 33% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.85 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.29 — 67% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 — 79% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.44 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.47 — 39% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.44u −20% ROI