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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Tondela — Benfica

Predictions by Market: Tondela vs Benfica

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TON
5%
Best 9.40
Draw
15%
Best 5.20
Away Win · BEN
80%
Best 1.31
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.21
book 2.50 · +13.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +13.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (55%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.4%
Odds 7.10
Show model details
Implied probability 14.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 4.5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 4.5%
Odds 7.70
Show model details
Implied probability 13%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 19.8%
Odds 4.61
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
TON – BEN @ 2.50
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →