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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Tondela — Benfica

Tondela vs Benfica 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.50 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.24 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.71 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.42 – 1.89
Δ −1.47
Possession
24% – 76%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.50 — +13.1% better than the market.

Benfica arrives with clear quality and form superiority, boasting a strong attacking edge against Tondela's defense. The home side struggles for consistency and faces a tough challenge breaking down Benfica's compact block. Expect Benfica to control the pace and press high, exploiting Tondela's defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Benfica's offensive firepower outmatches Tondela's defense
  • Home side's recent form lacks momentum
  • Likely a controlled tempo favoring the visitors' pressing style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 2.50 ✗ Lost
AI 45% Implied 40% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TON 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · TON
64' Manso ↑ · Maviram ↓
66' Maranhao ↑ · Hodge ↓
90+3' Afonso ↑ · Siebatcheu ↓
Subs used · BEN
63' Lopes Cabral ↑ · Banjaqui ↓
63' Silva ↑ · Schjelderup ↓
82' Bruma ↑ · Sudakov ↓
82' Anisio ↑ · Prestianni ↓

Statistics

TON 0 – 0 BEN
24%
Possession (%)
76%
0.42
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.89
6
Total Shots
23
1
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
7
2
Shots Inside Box
13
1
Corner Kicks
13
19
Fouls
5
63%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
5
Yellow Cards
0
10
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 0 – 0
Lucas Cañizares
Yellow Card
▮
-5'
Siphephelo Sithole
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Emmanuel Maviram
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Christian Marques
Yellow Card
▮
60'
63'
⇄
S. Lopes Cabral ↓ · D. Banjaqui ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
Rafa Silva ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 2
T. Manso ↓ · E. Maviram ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
Pedro Maranhao ↓ · J. Hodge ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
Rodrigo Conceição
Yellow Card
▮
80'
82'
⇄
Bruma ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
Anisio ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 4
J. Afonso ↓ · J. Siebatcheu ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Tondela and Benfica drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.89 to 0.42. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +20.59 units (Brier 0.405).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.50 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.24 — 44% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.71 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.62 — 55% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Draw 7.10 — 15% Cashed +6.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.05 — 96% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Away Win 1.24 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 — 67% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.03 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 22% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 — 6% Cashed +14.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 4.61 — 20% Cashed +3.61 Cashed
Home Win 16.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 7.70 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +20.59u +121% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
TON – BEN @ 2.50
+13.1%
Edge
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