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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Rio Ave

Predictions by Market: Nacional vs Rio Ave

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAC
50%
Best 1.98
Draw
26%
Best 3.49
Away Win · RIO
24%
Best 3.67
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.01
book 2.28 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +13.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.8%
Odds 3.57
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.2%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
NAC – RIO @ 2.28
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →