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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Rio Ave

Match Nacional vs Rio Ave January 25, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.28 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.88 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.53 – 0.47
Δ +1.06
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nacional holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting a compact defensive setup to frustrate Rio Ave. Both sides show similar attacking potential, but Nacional's recent home momentum and Rio Ave's inconsistent form hint at a cautious, low-scoring affair. Expect tight midfield battles and limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home edge in defense could stifle away attacks
  • Similar offensive capabilities suggest balanced exchanges
  • Recent form points to a tactical, measured pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · RIO 3-4-2-1
NAC · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · RIO 1 Kaique 16 Nuñez 34 Santos ⚽ 38 Vitor 5 Gomes 26 Silva 6 Dias 28 Liziero 27 Veron ⚽ 9 Ramírez ⚽ 11 Bóia 22 Chamorro 23 Petrasso 32 Brabec 6 Abbey 20 Tomé 44 Nikitscher 10 Aguilera 17 Vrousai 11 Luiz 18 Špikić 9 Clayton
Subs used · NAC
61' Labidi ↑ · Silva ↓
77' Witi ↑ · Boia ↓
77' Junior ↑ · Veron ↓
88' Sousa ↑ · Liziero ↓
88' Joao ↑ · Ramirez ↓
Subs used · RIO
46' Liavas ↑ · Petrasso ↓
46' Pohlmann ↑ · Aguilera Zamora ↓
67' Bezerra ↑ · Spikic ↓
67' Papakanellos ↑ · Luiz ↓
77' Richards ↑ · Tome ↓

📊 Statistics

NAC 4 – 0 RIO
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.53
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
6
18
Fouls
6
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

17 · 4 – 0
Gabriel Veron
Assist · Ze Vitor · 1–0
⚽
34'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
G. Liavas ↓ · F. Petrasso ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
O. Pohlmann ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑
Substitution 2
J. Ramirez
Assist · A. Nunez · 2–0
⚽
46'
Léo Santos
Yellow Card
▮
52'
C. Labidi ↓ · J. Silva ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
67'
⇄
Diogo Bezerra ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 3
67'
⇄
A. Papakanellos ↓ · Andre Luiz ↑
Substitution 4
Leo Santos
Assist · Jose Gomes · 3–0
⚽
72'
Witi ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
Daniel Junior ↓ · Gabriel Veron ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
77'
⇄
O. Richards ↓ · J. Tome ↑
Substitution 5
Ze Vitor
Yellow Card
▮
85'
A. Sousa ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
L. Joao ↓ · J. Ramirez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
Witi
Assist · Matheus Dias · 4–0
⚽
90'
José Gomes
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 4 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.28 — 50% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 51% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.88 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.01 — 45% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.60 — 50% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.39 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.57 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.34 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 70% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.45 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 — 24% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Away Win 3.34 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.75u −10% ROI