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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Sunderland — Fulham

Match Sunderland vs Fulham February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
Fulham
Fulham
W L L D W Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee C. Pawson
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.78
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.99
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.76
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.82 – 1.83
Δ −0.01
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.99 — +8.0% better than the market.

Fulham arrive with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, while Sunderland's defensive solidity at home offers a tactical counterbalance. Sunderland's recent form shows signs of revival, but Fulham's pressing and offensive threat could test their compact block. The pace may lean towards a balanced tempo, with under 2.5 goals likely given both sides' cautious setups.

  • Fulham's attacking edge vs Sunderland's defense
  • Home momentum for Sunderland after mixed results
  • Moderate pace suggests a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.99 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SUN 4-1-4-1 · FUL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SUN
12' Geertruida ↑ · Mukiele
39' Mundle ↑ · T. Bi
70' Mayenda ↑ · Angulo
70' Isidor ↑ · Brobbey
71' Xhaka ↑ · Diarra
Subs used · FUL
45+1' Bobb ↑ · Kevin
65' Muniz ↑ · Jimenez
88' Castagne ↑ · Tete
88' Cuenca ↑ · Iwobi
88' Cairney ↑ · Smith Rowe

📊 Statistics

SUN 13 FUL
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.83
12
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
13
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 1 – 3
L. Geertruida ↓ · N. Mukiele ↑
Substitution 1
12'
R. Mundle ↓ · J. T. Bi ↑
Substitution 2
39'
41'
Raúl Jiménez
Yellow Card
45+1'
O. Bobb ↓ · Kevin ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
R. Jimenez
Assist · A. Iwobi · 0–1
Brian Brobbey
Yellow Card
60'
61'
R. Jimenez (P)
Penalty · 0–2
65'
Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · R. Jimenez ↑
Substitution 2
E. Mayenda ↓ · N. Angulo ↑
Substitution 3
70'
W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑
Substitution 4
70'
G. Xhaka ↓ · H. Diarra ↑
Substitution 5
71'
E. Le Fee (P)
Penalty · 1–2
76'
85'
A. Iwobi
Assist · H. Wilson · 1–3
88'
T. Castagne ↓ · K. Tete ↑
Substitution 3
88'
J. Cuenca ↓ · A. Iwobi ↑
Substitution 4
88'
T. Cairney ↓ · E. Smith Rowe ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Fulham won 3–1 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the scoresheet: R. Jimenez (54'), R. Jimenez (61'), E. Le Fee (76'), A. Iwobi (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.03 units (Brier 0.240).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.78 45% Cashed +1.78 Cashed
BTTS No 1.99 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.96 45% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.23 39% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 46% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.98 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 72% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.50 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.84 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.35 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 20% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.03u −0% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SUN – FUL @ 1.99
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →