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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Benfica — Estrela

Predictions by Market: Benfica vs Estrela

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 18:00
4:0
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BEN
85%
Best 1.16
Draw
12%
Best 7.50
Away Win · EST
3%
Best 16.50
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.73
Fair odds
2.46
book 2.73 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (59%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 12.3%
Odds 10.10
Show model details
Implied probability 9.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.6%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 2.6%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 14.9%
Odds 7.20
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – EST @ 2.73
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →