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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Estrela

Match Benfica vs Estrela January 25, 2026

Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 18:00
4:0
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 41% · book 2.73
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.63
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.67
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.40 – 0.29
Δ +2.11
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, supported by a strong attacking profile against Estrela's modest defense. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Estrela's inconsistent away results suggest a tough outing. Expect Benfica's compact block and set-piece threat to challenge Estrela's defense, with a likely controlled tempo given moderate goal expectations.

  • Benfica's offensive strength vs Estrela's defense
  • Home form advantage and tactical solidity
  • Moderate pace hint favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BEN
46' Barreiro ↑ · Barrenechea
60' Schjelderup ↑ · Prestianni
73' Silva ↑ · Sudakov
73' Prioste ↑ · Aursnes
83' Anisio ↑ · Pavlidis
Subs used · EST
56' Doue ↑ · Moustier
65' Sola ↑ · Jansson
75' Robinho ↑ · Antonetti
75' Pinho ↑ · Stoica
75' Souza ↑ · Meireles

📊 Statistics

BEN 40 EST
67%
Possession (%)
33%
2.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.29
15
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
1
6
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
24
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

21 · 4 – 0
15'
Kevin Höög Jansson
Yellow Card
33'
Ianis Stoica
Yellow Card
Enzo Barrenechea
Yellow Card
37'
V. Pavlidis
Assist · S. Lopes Cabral · 1–0
42'
Fredrik Aursnes
Yellow Card
45'
António Silva
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
L. Barreiro ↓ · E. Barrenechea ↑
Substitution 1
46'
52'
Jefferson Encada
Yellow Card
V. Pavlidis (P)
Penalty · 2–0
55'
56'
G. Doue ↓ · T. Moustier ↑
Substitution 1
S. Lopes Cabral
3–0
58'
A. Schjelderup ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 2
60'
65'
A. Sola ↓ · K. Jansson ↑
Substitution 2
Rafa Silva ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 3
73'
D. Prioste ↓ · F. Aursnes ↑
Substitution 4
73'
75'
Robinho ↓ · L. Antonetti ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ · I. Stoica ↑
Substitution 4
75'
Alisson Souza ↓ · J. Meireles ↑
Substitution 5
76'
Paulo Moreira
Yellow Card
Anisio ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 5
83'
Anisio
4–0
84'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.73 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.63 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.67 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.32 37% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Draw 10.10 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.20 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.15 85% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 59% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
BTTS No 1.50 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 85% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 80% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Away Win 29.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 16.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.25u −37% ROI