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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Moreirense

Predictions Alverca vs Moreirense January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
29%
Best 2.36
Draw
29%
Best 2.87
Away Win · MOR
42%
Best 3.48
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.33
book 2.50 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +7.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.71
Show model details
Implied probability 21.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.