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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Alverca — Moreirense

Match Alverca vs Moreirense January 17, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.50 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 2.05 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.85 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.41 – 1.41
Δ +1.00
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Moreirense arrives with a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they can control the game despite being away. Alverca's home edge is modest, but their defensive solidity could keep things tight. Expect a tactical battle where Moreirense's sharper attack faces a disciplined Alverca defense, potentially limiting goal-scoring chances.

  • Moreirense's offensive edge against Alverca's defense
  • Alverca's compact block at home
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · MOR 4-2-3-1
ALV · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · MOR 13 Gomes 4 Naves 5 Gómez 33 Meupiyou 2 Touaizi ⚽ 21 Abdulai 8 Amorim 55 Chissumba 18 Lincoln 91 Lima ⚽ 20 Figueiredo 13 Ferreira 76 Pinto 3 Augusto 26 Maracás 17 Martínez 25 Assis 21 Alonso ⚽ 2 Travassos 11 Alan 10 Bondoso 9 Semedo
Subs used · ALV
74' Gui ↑ · Lincoln ↓
74' Marezi ↑ · Lima ↓
85' Nuozzi ↑ · Abdulai ↓
90+1' Moreira ↑ · Amorim ↓
90+1' Kauan ↑ · Touaizi ↓
Subs used · MOR
71' Stjepanovic ↑ · Assis ↓
71' Maranhao ↑ · Rodri ↓
77' Landerson ↑ · Martinez ↓

📊 Statistics

ALV 2 – 1 MOR
41%
Possession (%)
59%
2.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.41
15
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
6
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
57'
▮
Michel Augusto
Yellow Card
N. Touaizi (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
60'
62'
⚽
Rodri
1–1
Sandro Lima
Assist · N. Touaizi · 2–1
⚽
69'
71'
⇄
M. Stjepanovic ↓ · A. Assis ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
Yan Maranhao ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 2
D. Gui ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
74'
Marezi ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
77'
⇄
Landerson ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
André Gomes
Yellow Card
▮
83'
C. Nuozzi ↓ · S. Abdulai ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
V. Moreira ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+1'
Kauan ↓ · N. Touaizi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
Figueiredo
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Davy Gui
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.50 — 43% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.05 — 48% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS No 1.85 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.62 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.75 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.02 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.70 — 29% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.88 — 29% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Away Win 2.95 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.71 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.50 — 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 3.20 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 — 90% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 — 77% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.62u −15% ROI