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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Casa Pia

Predictions Sporting CP vs Casa Pia January 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 20:15
3:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisboa Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · SPO
84%
Best 1.18
Draw
13%
Best 7.10
Away Win · CAS
4%
Best 13.38
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.26
Fair odds
2.05
book 2.26 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +10.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 13%
Odds 9.15
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.5%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.7%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.5%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 16.5%
Odds 6.20
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.