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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Casa Pia

Match Sporting CP vs Casa Pia January 16, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 20:15
3:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.26 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 51% · book 1.70 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.30 – 0.19
Δ +2.11
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, having won three of their last five. Their potent attack faces a Casa Pia defense that struggles to contain pressure, suggesting Sporting's offensive threat will be key. Casa Pia's recent form shows resilience but lacks consistency, and their away struggles against a compact Sporting block may limit their chances.

  • Home edge in defense and attack
  • Sporting's recent winning run
  • Casa Pia's defensive vulnerabilities on the road

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · CAS 5-4-1
SPO · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · CAS 1 Silva 13 Vagiannidis 25 Inácio 2 Reis 22 Fresneda 52 Simões 5 Morita 10 Catamo ⚽ 17 Trincão 31 Guilherme 97 Suárez 1 Sequeira 72 Larrazabal 4 Goulart 6 Fonte 43 Sousa 5 Conté 29 Livolant 74 Nhaga 42 Pérez 7 Nsona 90 Cassiano
Subs used · SPO
66' Braganca ↑ · Guilherme ↓
66' Mangas ↑ · Vagiannidis ↓
83' Debast ↑ · Reis ↓
83' Kochorashvili ↑ · Simoes ↓
83' Santos ↑ · Catamo ↓
Subs used · CAS
37' Kaly ↑ · Fonte ↓
46' Morais ↑ · Nsona ↓
69' Severina ↑ · Livolant ↓
69' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano ↓
85' Brito ↑ · Nhaga ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 3 – 0 CAS
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.19
16
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
1
10
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
12
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0
12'
▮
José Fonte
Yellow Card
37'
⇄
Kaly ↓ · J. Fonte ↑
Substitution 1
G. Catamo
Assist · Trincao · 1–0
⚽
38'
G. Catamo
Assist · G. Inacio · 2–0
⚽
43'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
T. Morais ↓ · K. Nsona ↑
Substitution 2
D. Braganca ↓ · Luis Guilherme ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
R. Mangas ↓ · G. Vagiannidis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
69'
⇄
X. Severina ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⇄
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 4
D. Braganca
Assist · L. Suarez · 3–0
⚽
78'
Z. Debast ↓ · Matheus Reis ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
G. Kochorashvili ↓ · J. Simoes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Alisson Santos ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
85'
⇄
R. Brito ↓ · R. Nhaga ↑
Substitution 5
86'
▮
David Sousa
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Claudio Mendes
Red Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.55 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.26 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.70 — 51% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS No 1.62 — 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.65 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.52 — 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Draw 9.15 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 — 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.17 — 83% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 — 83% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 6.20 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.16 — 87% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 21.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 12.50 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.74u −40% ROI