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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Benfica

Predictions by Market: Rio Ave vs Benfica

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 20:30
0:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio dos Arcos · Condi Town Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIO
7%
Best 8.90
Draw
18%
Best 5.12
Away Win · BEN
75%
Best 1.32
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.25
Fair odds
2.03
book 2.25 · +11.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +11.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (51%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.43
Show model details
Implied probability 18.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 6.85
Show model details
Implied probability 14.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
RIO – BEN @ 2.25
+11.1%
Edge
Forecast →