Match Rio Ave vs Benfica January 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica arrives with a clear quality edge and recent strong form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Rio Ave’s home momentum and compact defensive block could limit Benfica’s attacking threat, but the visitors’ superior offensive firepower and tactical discipline likely tilt the balance. Expect a controlled pace with chances for both sides, as Rio Ave’s resilience meets Benfica’s pressing edge.

Benfica’s attacking quality outmatches Rio Ave’s defense.
Home side’s recent form shows fighting spirit.
Moderate tempo favors tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RIO 3-4-2-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1

RIO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BEN

9 Clayton

Subs used · RIO

72'

Papakanellos ↑ ·

Athanasiou ↓

73'

Nikitscher ↑ ·

Ntoi ↓

73'

Pohlmann ↑ ·

Luiz ↓

80'

Bezerra ↑ ·

Spikic ↓

80'

Liavas ↑ ·

Aguilera Zamora ↓

Subs used · BEN

62'

Lopes Cabral ↑ ·

Schjelderup ↓

78'

Rego ↑ ·

Prestianni ↓

90'

Manu ↑ ·

Sudakov ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 0 – 2 BEN

37%

Possession (%)

63%

0.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 2

16'

⚽

L. Barreiro

Assist · G. Sudakov · 0–1

25'

⚽

A. Ntoi

Own goal · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

59'

▮

Andreas Schjelderup

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

S. Lopes Cabral ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑

Substitution 1

Andreas Ndoj

Yellow Card

▮

66'

A. Papakanellos ↓ · N. Athanasiou ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

T. Nikitscher ↓ · A. Ntoi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

O. Pohlmann ↓ · Andre Luiz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

78'

⇄

J. Rego ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑

Substitution 2

Diogo Bezerra ↓ · D. Spikic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

G. Liavas ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

90'

⇄

Manu ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑

Substitution 3

90+1'

▮

Samuel Dahl

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Benfica won 2–0 away at Rio Ave. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.48 to 0.19. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Barreiro (16'), A. Ntoi (25').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.71 units (Brier 0.099).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.25	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	44%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.74	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	—	51%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.09	—	93%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Away Win	1.34	—	75%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	66%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.85	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.05	—	75%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	5.43	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	10.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.85	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.71u	−34% ROI