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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Leeds

Predictions Aston Villa vs Leeds February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Michael Oliver, England
Home Win · AST
59%
Best 1.84
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · LEE
16%
Best 4.43
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.69
book 1.91 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +13.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.4%
Odds 4.49
Show model details
Implied probability 22.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 16.4%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.