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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Nacional

Predictions Guimaraes vs Nacional January 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 02 Jan · 20:45
2:1
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
Home Win · GUI
51%
Best 1.87
Draw
25%
Best 3.39
Away Win · NAC
24%
Best 4.40
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.79
Fair odds
1.72
book 1.79 · +3.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 58% · EV +3.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.61
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.