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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — FC Porto

Predictions Alverca vs FC Porto December 22, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Mon 22 Dec · 18:45
0:3
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
7%
Best 9.00
Draw
20%
Best 4.75
Away Win · POR
73%
Best 1.35
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.96
Fair odds
1.76
book 1.96 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +11.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.7%
Odds 4.98
Show model details
Implied probability 20.1%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.25
Show model details
Implied probability 9.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 43%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
ALV – POR @ 1.96
+11.7%
Edge
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