P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Guimaraes

Predictions by Market: Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio dos Arcos · Condi Town Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIO
39%
Best 3.00
Draw
26%
Best 3.20
Away Win · GUI
35%
Best 2.40
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.78
Fair odds
2.56
book 2.78 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +8.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
RIO – GUI @ 2.78
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →