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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — GIL Vicente

Predictions by Market: Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 08 Dec · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
L W D L L Away · last 5
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GUI
27%
Best 2.88
Draw
29%
Best 3.00
Away Win · VIC
44%
Best 2.62
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.62
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.62 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 26.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 26.6%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
GUI – VIC @ 2.62
+9.2%
Edge
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