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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — GIL Vicente

Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 08 Dec · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
L W D L L Away · last 5
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.80 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.62 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.21 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.45 – 0.22
Δ +0.23
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.62 — +9.2% better than the market.

Guimaraes hosts GIL Vicente in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall rating and recent form. Despite Guimaraes' home momentum and a compact defensive setup, GIL Vicente's sharper attack against a less resilient defense suggests they can break through. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides likely to create chances.

  • GIL Vicente's offensive edge vs Guimaraes' defense
  • Home side's solid but tested defensive block
  • Recent form favors GIL Vicente's confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.62 ✗ Lost
AI 42% Implied 38% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1
GUI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VIC 25 Castillo 2 Maga 4 Rivas 26 Abascal 13 Mendes 16 Mukendi 30 Nogueira 19 Camara 20 Samu 48 Saviolo 7 Oliveira 42 Andrew 2 Carlos 48 Espigares 39 Buatu 3 Konan 5 Cáseres 10 Esteves 77 Souza 95 García 11 Fernandes 89 Varela
Subs used · GUI
62' Blanco ↑ · Camara ↓
62' Ndoye ↑ · Oliveira ↓
75' Mitrovic ↑ · Nogueira ↓
89' Lebedenko ↑ · I. Mendes ↓
89' Felix ↑ · Saviolo ↓
Subs used · VIC
61' Carlos ↑ · Esteves ↓
61' Toure ↑ · Fernandes ↓
61' Hevertton ↑ · Carlos ↓
77' Fernandez ↑ · Souza ↓
87' Eduardo ↑ · Varela ↓

Statistics

GUI 0 – 0 VIC
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.22
10
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
4
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 0 – 0
29'
▮
Zé Carlos
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
⇄
Ze Carlos ↓ · L. Esteves ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
T. Toure ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 2
61'
⇄
S. Hevertton ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑
Substitution 3
F. Blanco ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
A. Ndoye ↓ · N. Oliveira ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
Rodrigo Abascal
Yellow Card
▮
63'
M. Mitrovic ↓ · G. Nogueira ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
77'
⇄
M. Fernandez ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑
Substitution 4
Alioune Ndoye
Yellow Card
▮
81'
João Mendes
Yellow Card
▮
84'
87'
▮
Andrew
Yellow Card
87'
⇄
Carlos Eduardo ↓ · G. Varela ↑
Substitution 5
O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
V. Felix ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
89'
90+2'
▮
Hevertton Santos
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Ghislain Konan
Yellow Card
90+7'
▮
Santi García
Yellow Card
Matija Mitrović
Yellow Card
▮
90+8'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Guimaraes and GIL Vicente drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.19 units (Brier 0.274).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.80 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.62 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.21 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 — 54% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.70 — 32% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.92 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.99 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.45 — 73% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.55 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.50 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.56 — 58% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Draw 3.10 — 29% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 56% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Home Win 2.88 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.12 — 89% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.18 — 79% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 — 11% Cashed +6.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +3.19u +19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
GUI – VIC @ 2.62
+9.2%
Edge
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