P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Arouca

Predictions Estrela vs Arouca December 7, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 18:00
3:1
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Home Win · EST
36%
Best 1.97
Draw
28%
Best 3.25
Away Win · ARO
37%
Best 3.94
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.72
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.72 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +10.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 36.8%
Odds 3.51
Show model details
Implied probability 28.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.