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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Nacional

Predictions Alverca vs Nacional December 7, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 18:00
1:0
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
52%
Best 2.16
Draw
28%
Best 3.08
Away Win · NAC
20%
Best 3.52
Model pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.31
book 2.28 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 43%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.3%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.