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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Sporting CP

Predictions Benfica vs Sporting CP December 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Fri 05 Dec · 20:15
1:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Home Win · BEN
27%
Best 2.82
Draw
26%
Best 3.10
Away Win · SPO
46%
Best 2.60
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.78 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +14.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.53
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 83%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – SPO @ 1.78
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →