Match Benfica vs Sporting CP December 5, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.78 — +14.7% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and a sharper attack against Benfica's defense. Despite Benfica's slight home momentum, Sporting's recent form shows resilience and goal threat, suggesting a lively contest. The home side's defensive solidity faces a stern test from Sporting's dynamic offense, while the match pace hints at an open game with multiple scoring chances.

Sporting's offensive firepower challenges Benfica's backline.
Benfica's home edge is moderate but may be offset by Sporting's form.
Expect a balanced tempo favoring goal-scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 56% +0.78u

+78%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1

BEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SPO

14 Pavlidis

Subs used · BEN

81'

Prestianni ↑ ·

Sudakov ↓

86'

Ivanovic ↑ ·

Pavlidis ↓

88'

Manu ↑ ·

Barrenechea ↓

Subs used · SPO

61'

Quenda ↑ ·

Morita ↓

61'

Simoes ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

86'

Santos ↑ ·

Trincao ↓

86'

Ioannidis ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

📊 Statistics

BEN 1 – 1 SPO

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 1

-5'

▮

Pedro Gonçalves

Yellow Card

12'

⚽

P. Goncalves

Assist · M. Hjulmand · 0–1

G. Sudakov

Assist · A. Dedic · 1–1

⚽

27'

30'

▮

Hidemasa Morita

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

Leandro Barreiro

Yellow Card

▮

56'

61'

⇄

G. Quenda ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

J. Simoes ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 2

65'

▮

Luis Javier Suárez

Yellow Card

Vangelis Pavlidis

Yellow Card

▮

67'

72'

▮

Iván Fresneda

Yellow Card

75'

▮

Maximiliano Araújo

Yellow Card

G. Prestianni ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

81'

F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

86'

⇄

Alisson Santos ↓ · Trincao ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

F. Ioannidis ↓ · L. Suarez ↑

Substitution 4

Manu ↓ · E. Barrenechea ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

Gianluca Prestianni

Red Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Benfica and Sporting CP drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Goncalves (12'), G. Sudakov (27'). Gianluca Prestianni was sent off in the 90+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.03 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.05	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	64%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Away Win	2.63	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.86	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.90	—	40%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.09	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.46	—	73%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	83%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	2.83	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	95%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.53	—	26%	Cashed	+2.53	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	59%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.60	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.03u	−18% ROI