P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Arouca — SC Braga

Predictions by Market: Arouca vs SC Braga

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Mon 01 Dec · 20:15
0:4
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Aruca Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARO
11%
Best 6.96
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · BRA
67%
Best 1.47
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.68
book 4.00 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 11.1%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 11.1%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ARO – BRA @ 4.00
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →