Match Arouca vs SC Braga December 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Braga arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Their stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled, hinting at Braga's pressing edge and potential to control the game tempo. Despite Arouca's home crowd support, Braga's superior tactical balance and momentum make them favorites to secure points.

Braga's offensive threat vs Arouca's leaky defense
Home side's patchy recent form
Likely moderate-paced match with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-4-2-1

ARO · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · BRA

23 Nandín

Subs used · ARO

20'

Fayed ↑ ·

Sola ↓

46'

Puche ↑ ·

Lee ↓

46'

van Ee ↑ ·

Simao ↓

46'

Dante ↑ ·

Pinto ↓

72'

Trezza ↑ ·

Nandin ↓

Subs used · BRA

60'

Lelo ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

60'

Moutinho ↑ ·

Horta ↓

60'

Rodrigues ↑ ·

Gorby ↓

72'

Oliveira ↑ ·

Carvalho ↓

77'

Moscardo ↑ ·

Grillitsch ↓

📊 Statistics

ARO 0 – 4 BRA

16%

Possession (%)

84%

0.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

67%

Pass Accuracy (%)

94%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 0 – 4

Jose Fontán

Yellow Card

▮

13'

Jose Fontán

Yellow Card

▮

15'

Jose Fontán

Red Card

▮

15'

O. Fayed ↓ · A. Sola ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

20'

Alex Pinto

Yellow Card

▮

25'

26'

⚽

N. Mantl

Own goal · 0–1

31'

⚽

R. Horta

Assist · V. Gomez · 0–2

45'

⚽

Alex Pinto

Own goal · 0–3

Half-time · 0 – 3

Puche ↓ · H. Lee ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

E. van Ee ↓ · D. Simao ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

A. Dante ↓ · Alex Pinto ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

46'

60'

⇄

L. Lelo ↓ · V. Gomez ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

J. Moutinho ↓ · R. Horta ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

D. Rodrigues ↓ · Gorby ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⚽

G. Lagerbielke

Assist · D. Rodrigues · 0–4

A. Trezza ↓ · D. Nandin ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

72'

⇄

P. Oliveira ↓ · Vitor Carvalho ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

Gabriel Moscardo ↓ · F. Grillitsch ↑

Substitution 5

Tiago Esgaio

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

SC Braga won 4–0 away at Arouca. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 84% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 94% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 0.06. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 3, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Mantl (26'), R. Horta (31'), Alex Pinto (45'), G. Lagerbielke (71'). Jose Fontán was sent off in the 15' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.95 units (Brier 0.154).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.04	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	54%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.85	—	48%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.60	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.58	—	67%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.05	—	27%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.18	—	67%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.70	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.28	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	73%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Home Win	6.55	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.95u	−23% ROI