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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Estoril

Predictions by Market: FC Porto vs Estoril

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 20:30
1:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POR
78%
Best 1.21
Draw
17%
Best 6.40
Away Win · EST
6%
Best 13.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.21
Fair odds
2.01
book 2.21 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (50%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.08
Show model details
Implied probability 16.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.5%
Odds 13.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.1%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.9%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.5%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.06
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
POR – EST @ 2.21
+10.2%
Edge
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