Match FC Porto vs Estoril November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.21 — +10.2% better than the market.

FC Porto arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Estoril. Their attacking prowess is likely to challenge Estoril’s defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive, while Estoril’s inconsistent form and lower offensive output suggest they may struggle to keep pace.

Home side’s offensive pressure against a leaky defense
Superior recent form and home advantage
Moderate goal environment hints at a balanced but controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.21 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · EST 4-3-3

POR · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · EST

17 Sainz

Subs used · POR

46'

Zaidu ↑ ·

Moura ↓

59'

Veiga ↑ ·

Mora ↓

59'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Costa ↓

68'

de Jong ↑ ·

Samu ↓

82'

Eustaquio ↑ ·

Sainz ↓

Subs used · EST

56'

Costa ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

56'

Carvalho ↑ ·

Amaral ↓

66'

Ferro ↑ ·

Jandro ↓

75'

Marques ↑ ·

Lacximicant ↓

📊 Statistics

POR 1 – 0 EST

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.11

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 0

William Gomes

1–0

⚽

12'

▮

Jordan Holsgrove

Yellow Card

38'

▮

Ricard Sánchez

Yellow Card

Francisco Moura

Yellow Card

▮

42'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Zaidu ↓ · F. Moura ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

53'

▮

Joel Robles

Yellow Card

56'

⇄

G. Costa ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

P. Carvalho ↓ · P. Amaral ↑

Substitution 2

G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

M. Fernandes ↓ · A. Costa ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

66'

⇄

Ferro ↓ · Jandro ↑

Substitution 3

L. de Jong ↓ · Samu ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

68'

75'

⇄

A. Marques ↓ · A. Lacximicant ↑

Substitution 4

S. Eustaquio ↓ · B. Sainz ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

FC Porto beat Estoril 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: William Gomes (8').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.85 units (Brier 0.177).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.21	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	40%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.64	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.47	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	50%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.28	—	78%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	62%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.02	—	78%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	6.08	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	19%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.06	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	13.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.85u	−11% ROI