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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Casa Pia

Predictions Benfica vs Casa Pia November 9, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 20:30
2:2
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Home Win · BEN
83%
Best 1.18
Draw
13%
Best 6.80
Away Win · CAS
4%
Best 13.96
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.23
book 2.38 · +6.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +6.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (55%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 13.4%
Odds 8.60
Show model details
Implied probability 11.6%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.7%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 3.7%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 17.2%
Odds 5.93
Show model details
Implied probability 16.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – CAS @ 2.38
+6.6%
Edge
Forecast →