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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Casa Pia

Match Benfica vs Casa Pia November 9, 2025

Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 20:30
2:2
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.38
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.70
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.70
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.06 – 1.27
Δ +0.79
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their potent attack faces a Casa Pia defense that has struggled, suggesting Benfica can press their advantage effectively. Casa Pia’s form is less consistent, and their defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited in a match likely to see a moderate tempo given the odds.

  • Benfica’s home edge supports control of the game flow
  • Casa Pia’s defense under pressure from Benfica’s strong offense
  • Recent form hints at Benfica’s ability to capitalize on chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · CAS 3-4-3
Subs used · BEN
46' Prestianni ↑ · Barrenechea
79' Barreiro ↑ · Sudakov
89' Ivanovic ↑ · Pavlidis
89' Rego ↑ · Lukebakio
90+5' Araujo ↑ · Rios
Subs used · CAS
66' Rocha Livramento ↑ · Cassiano
66' Sousa ↑ · Nsona
76' Nhaga ↑ · Brito
84' Prieto ↑ · Rocha
84' Morais ↑ · Perez

📊 Statistics

BEN 22 CAS
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
19
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
0
11
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
8
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
13'
David Sousa
Yellow Card
G. Sudakov
Assist · V. Pavlidis · 1–0
17'
Half-time · 1 – 0
G. Prestianni ↓ · E. Barrenechea ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Georgiy Sudakov
Yellow Card
53'
V. Pavlidis (P)
Penalty · 2–0
60'
António Silva
Yellow Card
63'
65'
T. Araujo
Own goal · 2–1
66'
D. Rocha Livramento ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 1
66'
Miguel Sousa ↓ · K. Nsona ↑
Substitution 2
76'
R. Nhaga ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
L. Barreiro ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 2
79'
84'
K. Prieto ↓ · Kaique Rocha ↑
Substitution 4
84'
T. Morais ↓ · S. Perez ↑
Substitution 5
Richard Ríos
Yellow Card
87'
F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 3
89'
J. Rego ↓ · D. Lukebakio ↑
Substitution 4
89'
90'
R. Nhaga
2–2
H. Araujo ↓ · R. Rios ↑
Substitution 5
90+5'
90+6'
Patrick Sequeira
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.38 45% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.70 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.70 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.65 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.26 40% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Draw 8.60 13% Cashed +7.60 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.04 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.17 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 62% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.93 17% Cashed +4.93 Cashed
Under 0.5 22.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 82% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Away Win 19.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 15.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 8 L +7.90u +49% ROI