Arouca vs Moreirense 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.25 — +12.0% better than the market.

Moreirense enters this Primeira Liga clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive capabilities are likely to challenge Arouca's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Meanwhile, Arouca's home momentum is tempered by a modest attacking threat and a patchy recent record.

Moreirense's sharper attack could exploit Arouca's defensive gaps.
Arouca's home edge is limited, pointing to a balanced contest.
Expect a moderately paced game with a slight lean towards fewer goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.25 ✗ Lost

AI 34% Implied 31% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-2-3-1

ARO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MOR

17 Barbero

Subs used · ARO

69'

Gozalbez ↑ ·

Simao ↓

69'

Puche ↑ ·

Trezza ↓

79'

Mansilla ↑ ·

Sola ↓

84'

Pinto ↑ ·

Fayed ↓

Subs used · MOR

66'

Semedo ↑ ·

Schettine ↓

66'

Sousa ↑ ·

Landerson ↓

78'

Jorquera Romero ↑ ·

Travassos ↓

88'

Rodri ↑ ·

Alanzinho ↓

Statistics

ARO 0 – 2 MOR

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 0 – 2

12'

⚽

Guilherme Schettine

Assist · Landerson · 0–1

Tiago Esgaio

Yellow Card

▮

32'

36'

⚽

Guilherme Schettine

Assist · Bernardo · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

47'

▮

Diogo Travassos

Yellow Card

David Simão

Yellow Card

▮

65'

66'

⇄

L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

V. Sousa ↓ · Landerson ↑

Substitution 2

P. Gozalbez ↓ · D. Simao ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

Puche ↓ · A. Trezza ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

78'

⇄

J. Jorquera Romero ↓ · Travassos ↑

Substitution 3

B. Mansilla ↓ · A. Sola ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

Taichi Fukui

Yellow Card

▮

80'

Alex Pinto ↓ · O. Fayed ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

88'

▮

Marcelo

Yellow Card

88'

⇄

Rodri ↓ · Alanzinho ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Moreirense won 2–0 away at Arouca. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Guilherme Schettine (12'), Guilherme Schettine (36').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.20 units (Brier 0.137).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.96	—	56%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	61%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.01	—	44%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.19	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.67	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.93	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	71%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Away Win	2.81	—	44%	Cashed	+1.81	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	80%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	66%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Draw	3.32	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.86	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.20u	−19% ROI

Arouca vs Moreirense 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled