P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Moreirense

Match Arouca vs Moreirense November 2, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 18:00
0:2
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.96
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.75
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 44% · book 2.01
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.67 – 0.52
Δ +0.15
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.96 — +9.2% better than the market.

Moreirense enters this Primeira Liga clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive capabilities are likely to challenge Arouca's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Meanwhile, Arouca's home momentum is tempered by a modest attacking threat and a patchy recent record.

  • Moreirense's sharper attack could exploit Arouca's defensive gaps.
  • Arouca's home edge is limited, pointing to a balanced contest.
  • Expect a moderately paced game with a slight lean towards fewer goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.96 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 51% +0.96u
+96%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · MOR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ARO
69' Gozalbez ↑ · Simao
69' Puche ↑ · Trezza
79' Mansilla ↑ · Sola
84' Pinto ↑ · Fayed
Subs used · MOR
66' Semedo ↑ · Schettine
66' Sousa ↑ · Landerson
78' Jorquera Romero ↑ · Travassos
88' Rodri ↑ · Alanzinho

📊 Statistics

ARO 02 MOR
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.67
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.52
11
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
1
7
Shots Inside Box
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
11
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 0 – 2
12'
Guilherme Schettine
Assist · Landerson · 0–1
Tiago Esgaio
Yellow Card
32'
36'
Guilherme Schettine
Assist · Bernardo · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
47'
Diogo Travassos
Yellow Card
David Simão
Yellow Card
65'
66'
L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑
Substitution 1
66'
V. Sousa ↓ · Landerson ↑
Substitution 2
P. Gozalbez ↓ · D. Simao ↑
Substitution 1
69'
Puche ↓ · A. Trezza ↑
Substitution 2
69'
78'
J. Jorquera Romero ↓ · Travassos ↑
Substitution 3
B. Mansilla ↓ · A. Sola ↑
Substitution 3
79'
Taichi Fukui
Yellow Card
80'
Alex Pinto ↓ · O. Fayed ↑
Substitution 4
84'
88'
Marcelo
Yellow Card
88'
Rodri ↓ · Alanzinho ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.96 56% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.75 61% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.01 44% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.19 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.93 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.67 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.93 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.52 71% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Away Win 2.81 44% Cashed +1.81 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 80% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 66% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Draw 3.32 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.86 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.20u −19% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
ARO – MOR @ 1.96
+9.2%
Edge
Forecast →