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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — Benfica

Guimaraes vs Benfica 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 20:30
0:3
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 50% · book 2.00 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.86 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.43 – 2.13
Δ −1.70
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.50 — +4.7% better than the market.

Benfica enters this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and offensive threat compared to Guimaraes. Despite Guimaraes' solid recent form and home momentum, Benfica's attacking prowess against Guimaraes' defense suggests they can break through. The home side's defensive solidity may keep things tight, hinting at a balanced contest with moderate goal expectations.

  • Benfica's superior quality and attack
  • Guimaraes' home defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds, favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 70% Implied 67% +0.50u
+50%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1
GUI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BEN 25 Castillo 2 Maga 4 Rivas Viondi 26 Abascal 13 I. Mendes 16 Beni 23 Sousa 18 Arcanjo 20 Samu 22 Blanco 19 Camara 1 Trubin 8 Aursnes 44 Araujo ⚽ 30 Otamendi 26 Dahl ⚽ 20 Rios 5 Barrenechea 11 Lukebakio 10 Sudakov 25 Prestianni 14 Pavlidis
Subs used · GUI
61' Nobrega ↑ · Maga ↓
61' Mitrovic ↑ · Sousa ↓
62' Felix ↑ · Arcanjo ↓
73' Oliveira ↑ · Samu ↓
79' Saviolo ↑ · Camara ↓
Subs used · BEN
46' Barreiro ↑ · Sudakov ↓
46' Schjelderup ↑ · Prestianni ↓
83' Rego ↑ · Lukebakio ↓
90' Araujo ↑ · Pavlidis ↓
90+1' Veloso ↑ · Rios ↓

Statistics

GUI 0 – 3 BEN
34%
Possession (%)
66%
0.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.13
10
Total Shots
24
3
Shots on Target
10
4
Shots off Target
8
4
Shots Inside Box
13
3
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
3
Yellow Cards
4
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

21 · 0 – 3
43'
▮
Vangelis Pavlidis
Yellow Card
45+1'
▮
Georgiy Sudakov
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
L. Barreiro ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
A. Schjelderup ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 2
Miguel Maga
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
45+2'
▮
Gianluca Prestianni
Yellow Card
Beni Mukendi
Yellow Card
▮
52'
53'
⚽
T. Araujo
Assist · D. Lukebakio · 0–1
Fabio Blanco
Red Card
▮
56'
M. Nobrega ↓ · Maga ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
M. Mitrovic ↓ · D. Sousa ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
V. Felix ↓ · T. Arcanjo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
62'
⚽
S. Dahl
Assist · L. Barreiro · 0–2
N. Oliveira ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
N. Saviolo ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
83'
⇄
J. Rego ↓ · D. Lukebakio ↑
Substitution 3
87'
⚽
J. Rego
0–3
Vando Félix
Yellow Card
▮
89'
90'
▮
Nicolás Otamendi
Yellow Card
90'
⇄
H. Araujo ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
⇄
J. Veloso ↓ · R. Rios ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Benfica won 3–0 away at Guimaraes. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 0.43. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 10, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Araujo (53'), S. Dahl (62'), J. Rego (87'). Fabio Blanco was sent off in the 56' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.74 units (Brier 0.094).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 — 53% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS No 1.85 — 50% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.76 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.50 — 70% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.13 — 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 69% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.18 — 70% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.75 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 — 77% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.90 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.74u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GUI – BEN @ 1.50
+4.7%
Edge
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