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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Estrela

Predictions Casa Pia vs Estrela November 1, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 18:00
3:5
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Home Win · CAS
39%
Best 2.27
Draw
28%
Best 3.08
Away Win · EST
33%
Best 3.39
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.57
book 2.90 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (61%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 32.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.5%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CAS – EST @ 2.90
+13.0%
Edge
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