P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Chelsea — Leeds

Match Chelsea vs Leeds February 10, 2026

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Tue 10 Feb · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Robert Jones, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.62
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.71
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.75
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
3.65 – 1.35
Δ +2.30
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea arrive at Stamford Bridge with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Leeds. Their potent attack faces a Leeds defense that has struggled to contain opponents, suggesting Chelsea’s pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive. Leeds, while resilient, may find it tough to break down Chelsea’s compact block, especially given the home side’s superior form and tactical cohesion.

  • Chelsea’s home advantage and attacking sharpness stand out
  • Leeds’ defense under pressure against high-quality offense
  • Recent form favors Chelsea’s control and tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · LEE 5-4-1
Subs used · CHE
46' Hato ↑ · Cucurella
64' Neto ↑ · Estêvão
79' Fofana ↑ · Acheampong
79' Delap ↑ · Santos
Subs used · LEE
55' Okafor ↑ · Bornauw
82' James ↑ · Nmecha
90+5' Longstaff ↑ · Aaronson

📊 Statistics

CHE 22 LEE
66%
Possession (%)
34%
3.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.35
19
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
0
14
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
13
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
Malo Gusto
Yellow Card
8'
Josh Acheampong
Yellow Card
15'
19'
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Yellow Card
22'
Sebastiaan Bornauw
Yellow Card
Joao Pedro
Assist · C. Palmer · 1–0
24'
45'
James Justin
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
J. Hato ↓ · M. Cucurella ↑
Substitution 1
46'
55'
N. Okafor ↓ · S. Bornauw ↑
Substitution 1
C. Palmer (P)
Penalty · 2–0
58'
P. Neto ↓ · Estêvão ↑
Substitution 2
64'
Cole Palmer
Yellow Card
67'
67'
L. Nmecha (P)
Penalty · 2–1
73'
N. Okafor
Assist · L. Nmecha · 2–2
W. Fofana ↓ · J. Acheampong ↑
Substitution 3
79'
L. Delap ↓ · Andrey Santos ↑
Substitution 4
79'
82'
D. James ↓ · L. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 2
90+5'
S. Longstaff ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 3
90+6'
Sean Longstaff
Yellow Card
Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
90+8'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.62 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.71 58% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 56% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.32 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.65 37% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
BTTS No 2.13 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.46 34% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 80% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 4.47 21% Cashed +3.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.24 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.53u −3% ROI