Match Pafos vs Slavia Praha January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Pafos vs Slavia Praha looks like a matchup where the visitors should feel more comfortable controlling the rhythm and creating the cleaner chances over time. Pafos can stay competitive at home with a compact shape and direct spells, but they’ve shown they can be stretched when the game becomes transition-heavy. Slavia’s ability to press, recover quickly and attack with pace gives them a strong path to avoid defeat, and if they start well they can turn control into a decisive advantage. The most likely script is Slavia carrying the bigger threat while Pafos rely on moments and set pieces to stay in it.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAP 4-2-3-1 · SLA 3-4-2-1

PAP · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · SLA

33 Silva

📊 Statistics

PAP 4 – 1 SLA

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Pafos beat Slavia Praha 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 80% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net +0.31 units (Brier 0.262).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.35	—	32%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Away Win	3.20	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.68	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.74	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.60	—	30%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	—	52%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.98	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	52%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	74%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.30	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.73	—	32%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	60%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 7 L	+0.31u	+2% ROI