Match Club Brugge KV vs Marseille January 28, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 28 Jan · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Jan Breydelstadion · Brugge
Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 63% · book 1.61
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 4.03
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.52
✗
xG (open play)
1.67 – 0.99
Δ +0.68
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Club Brugge KV vs Marseille sets up as a high-energy European night where momentum swings quickly. Brugge come in with strong recent results and should push the tempo at Jan Breydel, but Marseille look the more complete side in how they manage phases and create clearer chances when the game stretches. Brugge’s best moments should come from aggressive wing play and fast recoveries, while Marseille can hurt them through sharper transitions and better control after winning the ball. A draw is a very live outcome, yet Marseille have the tools to edge it if they stay composed under pressure and take the bigger moments.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
CLU 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
CLU 3
– 0 MAR
1.67
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.99
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
Match recap
Club Brugge KV beat Marseille 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.99. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -0.53 units (Brier 0.220).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 8 W · 7 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.61 |
— |
63% |
Cashed |
+0.61 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.03 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.52 |
— |
67% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.48 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.63 |
— |
62% |
Cashed |
+0.63 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.19 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.19 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.55 |
— |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.63 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.63 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.49 |
— |
38% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.51 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.57 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.74 |
— |
33% |
Cashed |
+1.74 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.89 |
— |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.06 |
— |
33% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 7 L |
−0.53u |
−4% ROI |