Juventus vs Benfica 2:0: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Wed 21 Jan · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Allianz Stadium · Torino
Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.05
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 26% · book 3.74
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 40% · book 4.75
✗
xG (open play)
1.36 – 1.38
Δ −0.02
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.89 — +2.1% better than the market.
Juventus should keep this structured at home, but Benfica arrive with stronger momentum and look more comfortable playing through pressure and striking on the break. Expect a competitive, tactical match where Benfica have slightly clearer routes to avoid defeat, while Juventus will rely on game management and set-piece moments. Goals are likely, but the overall feel is more controlled than chaotic.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.89
✓ Cashed
AI 54%
Implied 53%
+0.89u
⛀ Lineups
JUV 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
JUV 2
– 0 BEN
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.38
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Juventus beat Benfica 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.33 units (Brier 0.165).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
16 · 7 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.05 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.74 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
4.75 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.87 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
1.95 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
10.50 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.34 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.34 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.55 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.87 |
— |
35% |
Cashed |
+0.87 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.89 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.89 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.60 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.32 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.32 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.23 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.23 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.05 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.32 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 9 L |
−5.33u |
−33% ROI |
