P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Champions League Chelsea — Pafos

Predictions Chelsea vs Pafos January 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Wed 21 Jan · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Pafos
Pafos
W D L L W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Eric Lambrechts, Belgium
Home Win · CHE
74%
Best 1.14
Draw
16%
Best 9.10
Away Win · PAP
10%
Best 19.00
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.90
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.90 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 62% · EV +10.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16%
Odds 8.10
Show model details
Implied probability 12.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 28.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality High
Totals 5 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 58%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 35%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 85%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 10%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 26%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
CHE – PAP @ 1.90
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →