Galatasaray and Atletico Madrid drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.43 to 0.50. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.78 units (Brier 0.167).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away Win | 2.12 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.39 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.50 | — | 63% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 | — | 62% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.68 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.68 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.00 | — | 26% | Cashed | +3.00 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 | — | 38% | Cashed | +1.60 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.38 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 | — | 79% | Cashed | +0.18 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 95% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 5.80 | — | 21% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 19.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.70 | — | 37% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.84 | — | 54% | Cashed | +0.84 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 3.65 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 2.49 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.62 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −1.78u | −10% ROI |
