Qarabag beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 1.21. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.07 units (Brier 0.219).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.57 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 19.50 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.83 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 2.24 | — | 47% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.62 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.41 | — | 73% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.43 | — | 42% | Cashed | +1.43 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.90 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.72 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.48 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.48 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.73 | — | 53% | Cashed | +0.73 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.17 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.17 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 3.19 | — | 27% | Cashed | +2.19 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.65 | — | 47% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 2.32 | — | 27% | Cashed | +1.32 | Cashed |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −2.07u | −12% ROI |
