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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Real Madrid — Monaco

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Monaco

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 20 Jan · 20:00
6:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W L D L D Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Espen Eskas, Norway

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
71%
Best 1.32
Draw
19%
Best 5.90
Away Win · MON
10%
Best 8.50
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.20 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 19%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality High
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 49%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 27.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
REA – MON @ 2.20
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →