This has the feel of a tight European night in Copenhagen. The hosts can be dangerous at home, but Napoli look slightly more reliable over 90 minutes thanks to steadier game management and better balance in difficult phases. Chances should appear for both sides, so goals are on the table, yet the safer match read is Napoli staying competitive rather than Copenhagen running away with it.
FC Copenhagen and Napoli drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.174).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 4.40 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 2.02 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.75 | — | 27% | Cashed | +2.75 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.94 | — | 47% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.87 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.87 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.05 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.07 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.32 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.32 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 3.70 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.94 | — | 48% | Cashed | +0.94 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 3.60 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.34 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.34 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.98 | — | 53% | Cashed | +0.98 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.26 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.26 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 3.10 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 1.42 | — | 61% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −2.47u | −15% ROI |
